Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.616971 1.701001 1.787796 1.884318 1.988863 2.098905 2.223785
2026-02-01 1.440235 1.557593 1.684002 1.830971 1.998026 2.183060 2.404976
2026-02-08 1.302470 1.436683 1.585687 1.764730 1.975856 2.219228 2.524464
2026-02-15 1.214325 1.360872 1.527613 1.733506 1.983949 2.282791 2.672805
2026-02-22 1.154860 1.311920 1.494448 1.725291 2.013976 2.369480 2.851016
2026-03-01 1.096903 1.259949 1.452757 1.701505 2.019965 2.422924 2.986911
2026-03-08 1.026703 1.188885 1.383134 1.637475 1.968887 2.397013 3.011669
2026-03-15 0.991285 1.158204 1.360989 1.630960 1.989871 2.464738 3.167185
2026-03-22 0.983243 1.160557 1.379499 1.676634 2.081051 2.631560 3.476004
2026-03-29 0.957112 1.138552 1.365407 1.677920 2.111220 2.714630 3.668092
2026-04-05 0.936960 1.123068 1.358622 1.687944 2.153072 2.815910 3.895821
2026-04-12 0.912879 1.101357 1.342437 1.683841 2.173938 2.886848 4.081025
2026-04-19 0.880657 1.069695 1.314165 1.665076 2.177595 2.939776 4.255896
2026-04-26 0.844996 1.032499 1.277346 1.633042 2.160666 2.961234 4.383103
2026-05-03 0.804526 0.987485 1.228165 1.581034 2.110762 2.927213 4.409972
2026-05-10 0.776216 0.957779 1.198700 1.555781 2.099531 2.953561 4.547431
2026-05-17 0.756235 0.938553 1.182799 1.549202 2.116139 3.025861 4.777982
2026-05-24 0.733112 0.914180 1.158657 1.529080 2.109918 3.058919 4.936737
2026-05-31 0.700190 0.875324 1.112779 1.474482 2.045720 2.988214 4.881021
2026-06-07 0.684688 0.860114 1.099889 1.468926 2.059973 3.054169 5.110960
2026-06-14 0.683806 0.865141 1.115948 1.507936 2.149056 3.259612 5.665650
2026-06-21 0.671630 0.853821 1.107843 1.509035 2.174770 3.351896 5.987914
2026-06-28 0.662251 0.846137 1.104691 1.517584 2.213392 3.471297 6.392873